Hold that Call, and Focus on the Road

An in-car warning system being developed by Microsoft Researchers could help prevent accidents by automatically putting calls on hold when the road demands more attention. The researchers found that the system could significantly reduce the risk of an accident while driving.

According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), using a cell phone while driving impairs a driver's reaction time by as much as having a blood alcohol concentration at the legal limit of .08 percent. Most U.S. states have banned the use of handheld phones while driving, and more than half forbid novice drivers and school bus drivers from any cell phone use at all while driving.

Shamsi Iqbal and Yun-Cheng Ju at Microsoft Research in Redmond, California, and Ella Mathews at Caltech had 18 pairs of volunteers use a highly realistic driving simulator. One person from each pair was asked to drive a virtual route, while the other asked them questions over a speakerphone. The virtual route featured  construction zones, heavy traffic, and busy residential areas.

In part of the experiment, when the road conditions became tricky?for example, when traffic became denser?the system would cut in, giving an audio alert to both the driver and the caller.  If they failed to stop talking, it would place the conversation on hold. The researchers found that with the system in use, the number of errors made by drivers decreased dramatically, from once every 1.4 minutes to once every 7.1 minutes?a rate even lower than the rate for drivers who weren't on the phone but received no warning.

"This suggests that inventions may not only make driving safer while conversing, but may make driving safer, period," says Iqbal. The results were presented in Vancouver this week at the ACM Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems.

The technology needed to automatically detect trouble spots on the road is still in development, says Eric Horvitz, a Microsoft Research scientist who led the study. "The eventual idea is to have a system that can continue to monitor speed and location with GPS and compute forthcoming driving risk based on prior statistics on each roadway and on the current context," he says.

Horvitz and colleagues are developing such a system using traffic accident data from the NHTSA and local authorities. "We splatted that data onto the road network to generate a heat map of trouble spots by densities of points of accidents and fatalities," he says.  "We'd like to one day add data on current traffic conditions," he adds. Horvitz says some of the technology could perhaps be incorporated into a mobile app so that anyone could use it.

There is a lot of interest in developing technologies to address the problem of driver distraction. "People are under tremendous pressure to work as much as they can, and they see driving as wasted time," says Paul Green head of driver distraction at the University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute in Ann Arbor. "So if they can work by talking to someone on the phone while driving, then they will just do it."

Having a system that alerts drivers when necessary is less likely to be ignored, says Green. But the flip side is that drivers may become complacent.

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Gartner: SSDs will reach mainstream prices in 2012

According to a report by PCWorld, Gartner believes solid-state drives will finally reach mainstream pricing next year -- a proposition that has taunted hardware buffs for eons. The research outfit estimates that by the second half of 2012, mainstream flash-based storage drives will reach $1 per gigabyte, putting them well within the grasp of most consumers and not just well-funded enthusiasts.

Intel's current-generation 80GB 320 series SSD (essentially an updated second-generation X25-M) is priced at $180, or about $2.25 per gigabyte. That price only goes up when you start looking at models outfitted with SATA 6Gb/s, such as Intel's 510 series or OCZ's Vertex 3 line. By comparison, it's not difficult to find 1TB and 2TB hard drives for less than a dime per gigabyte.

While SSDs have become more affordable over the last few years, Gartner expects NAND flash prices to fall by 30% this year followed by another 36% next year. Those declines are attributed to the rise of tablets and other electronics that ship with flash storage. Not only are consumers buying more flash chips, but they're demanding higher capacity solutions. Both are causing manufacturers to increase their output, which will eventually push prices down.

Although we're mostly excited about buying cheap SSDs for our desktops and notebooks, Gartner notes that those types of drives account for a small chunk NAND flash market. While flash cards and USB drives represented 38% of the NAND bit consumption in 2010, SSDs only accounted for 7.9%. With prices on the decline, that figure is expected to double to 15.9% by next year. How cheap will SSDs have to get before you're willing to take the plunge?

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Federal Retreat on Bigger Loans Rattles Housing

?We?re looking at more price drops, more foreclosures,? said Rick Del Pozzo, a loan broker. ?This snowball that?s been rolling downhill is going to pick up some speed.?

For the last three years, federal agencies have backed new mortgages as large as $729,750 in desirable neighborhoods in high-cost states like California, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Massachusetts. Without the government covering the risk of default, many lenders would have refused to make the loans. With the economy in free fall, Congress broadened its traditionally generous support of housing to a substantial degree.

But now Democrats and Republicans agree that the taxpayer should no longer be responsible for homes valued well above the national average, and are about to turn a top slice of the housing market into a testing ground for whether the private mortgage market can once again go it alone. The result, analysts say, will be higher-cost loans and fewer potential buyers for more expensive homes.

Michael S. Barr, a former assistant Treasury secretary, said the federal government?s retrenchment would be painful for many communities. ?There?s always going to be a line, and for the person just over it it?s always going to be an arbitrary line,? said Mr. Barr, who teaches at the University of Michigan Law School. ?But there is no entitlement to living in a home that costs $750,000.?

As the housing market braces for more trouble, homeowners everywhere have been reduced to hoping things will someday stop getting worse. In some areas, foreclosures are the only thing selling. New home construction is nearly nonexistent. And CoreLogic, a data company, said Tuesday that house prices fell 7.5 percent over the last year.

The federal government last year backed nine out of 10 new mortgages nationwide, and losses from soured loans are still mounting. Fannie Mae, which buys mortgages from lenders and packages them for investors, said last week it needed an additional $6.2 billion in aid, bringing the cost of its rescue to nearly $100 billion.

Getting the government out of the mortgage business, however, is proving much more difficult than doling out new benefits. As regulators prepare to drop the level at which they will guarantee loans ? here in Monterey County, the level will drop by a third to $483,000 ? buyers and sellers are wondering why they should be punished simply for living in an expensive region.

Sellers worry that the pool of potential buyers will shrink. ?I?m glad to see they?re trying to rein in Fannie Mae, but I think I?m being disproportionately penalized,? said Rayn Random, who is trying to sell her house in the hills for $849,000 so she can move to Florida.

Buyers might face less competition in the fall but are likely to see more demands from lenders, including higher credit scores and larger down payments. Steve McNally, a hotel manager from Vancouver, said he had only about 20 percent to put down on a new home in Monterey County.

If a bigger deposit were required, Mr. McNally said, ?I?d wait and rent.?

Even those who bought ahead of the changes, scheduled to take effect Sept. 30, worry about the effect on values. Greg Peterson recently purchased a house in Monterey for $700,000. ?That doesn?t get you a palace,? said Mr. Peterson, a flight attendant.

He qualified for government insurance, which meant he needed only a small down payment. If that option is not available in the future, he said, ?home prices all around me will plummet.?

The National Association of Realtors, 8,000 of whom have gathered in Washington this week for their midyear legislative meeting, is making an extension of the loan guarantees a top lobbying priority.

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Catholic Professors Criticize Boehner in Letter

But now Mr. Boehner is coming in for a dose of the same kind of harsh criticism previously leveled at some Democrats ? including President Obama ? who have been honored by Catholic universities: the accusation that his policies violate basic teachings of the Catholic church.

More than 75 professors at Catholic University and other prominent Catholic colleges have written a pointed letter to Mr. Boehner saying that the Republican-supported budget he shepherded through the House of Representatives will hurt the poor, elderly and vulnerable, and therefore he has failed to uphold basic Catholic moral teaching.

?Mr. Speaker, your voting record is at variance from one of the Church?s most ancient moral teachings,? the letter says. ?From the apostles to the present, the Magisterium of the Church has insisted that those in power are morally obliged to preference the needs of the poor. Your record in support of legislation to address the desperate needs of the poor is among the worst in Congress. This fundamental concern should have great urgency for Catholic policy makers. Yet, even now, you work in opposition to it.?

The letter writers go on to criticize Mr. Boehner?s support for a budget that cut support for Medicare, Medicaid and the Women, Infants and Children nutrition program, while granting tax cuts to the wealthy and corporations. They call such policies ?anti-life,? a particularly biting reference because the phrase is usually applied to politicians and others who support the right to abortion.

Michael Steel, a spokesman for Mr. Boehner, responded by e-mail: ?The Speaker will be delivering a personal, non-political message at the Catholic University of America that he hopes will speak to all members of the graduating class, regardless of their backgrounds or affiliations. He is deeply honored to have been invited by CUA to address the school?s graduating class, and is looking forward to receiving an honorary degree from the only Catholic college in our country that is chartered by Catholic bishops.?

He included a link to an editorial in a student newspaper on the Catholic University campus exulting that finally the senior class can ?brag? that the university had nabbed the third most powerful politician in the country as commencement speaker.

The choice of commencement speakers at Catholic universities has grown more fraught in recent years. A document issued by the bishops called ?Faithful Citizenship? advised that Catholic universities should not honor Catholics who have publicly disagreed with church teachings. But the resulting controversies so far have mostly been about more liberal-leaning Catholics who have taken positions in favor of access to abortion, or gay rights, in opposition to the church.

When Mr. Obama, who is not Catholic, was invited to receive an honorary degree at the University of Notre Dame in 2009, there was an outcry from politically conservative Catholics because of his support for abortion rights. A few Catholic bishops and said the university should withdraw the invitation, but the university administration held firm. Protesters showed up to picket the president?s appearance.

One of the professors who crafted this letter says he wanted to stake out a different approach. Stephen F. Schneck, the director of the Institute for Policy Research and Catholic Studies, at the Catholic University of America, noted that this letter did not call for the university to revoke the invitation to Mr. Boehner.

?We are going out of our way to say, welcome to the Catholic University,? Mr. Schneck said, ?but we don?t agree with you.?

As if to say that they are not speaking out of turn, the professors point out that the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops also recently issued a similar letter expressing the hierarchy?s concerns about budget cuts in programs that aid the poor.

The letter is signed by professors at Xavier University, from which Mr. Boehner graduated, and the University of Dayton, both in Mr. Boehner?s home state of Ohio, as well as at universities such as Fordham, Marquette, Notre Dame and Santa Clara.

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Microsoft?s quest to open up government data

Earlier this year, a deputy of Chicago Mayor-elect Rahm Emanuel approached a regional Microsoft representative to talk about open government initiatives. As an increasing number of local governments have recognized they hold a proliferation of data and the means with which to distribute it to citizens, Emanuel?s staff determined that there was no longer any excuse to hoard all of this information. Hence, why they?ve turned to Microsoft, a company that has been leading many of the largest open government initiatives to emerge within the last two years.

Spearheading these projects (often referred to as Gov 2.0) is Phil West, Microsoft?s Senior Technology Architect for its Office of Civic Innovation. West is no stranger to dealing with large reams of data; he began his career working in the data facilities for American Express, doing ?everything from programming mainframes to micro computers to everything in between.? Later on, West conducted data center mangement and data center consolidation for health care, banking, and finance companies in North Carolina. About three years ago, Microsoft approached him to work for a budding innovations team in the company?s public sector division.

?I was totally in the commercial space when I walked in,? he told me during an interview in Microsoft?s Chevy Chase, Maryland offices. ?They brought me in so I really wouldn?t have public sector baggage. It wasn?t like I?d worked for the federal government for the past 20 years. That wouldn?t be a bad thing, but they brought me in and said, ?Look you don?t have this baggage, you?re a fresh set of eyes. You can look at things a bit differently.??

Many of these projects gained momentum after President Obama, on his first day in Office, signed the Memorandum on Transparency and Open Government, which would usher in ?a new era of open and accountable government meant to bridge the gap between the American people and their government.? Later that same year, Obama released the Open Government Directive, a detailed framework for how government agencies would enact these changes.

It wasn?t unheard of up until this point for government agencies to release some of their data, but for the most part it was unwieldy and not entirely accessible for the average user. ?I use the term ?dynamic data,? and by that I mean data that is consumable by an application directly,? West said. ?In the previous iteration, you downloaded a huge spreadsheet and you just looked through it, and you better know what you were looking for. We proposed to advance it to the point where the agency has a responsibility to curate the data and get it out there so that someone can easily grab it, whether it be through a web page or an API for a smart phone, an iPad, or another device.?

This is not an easy task given that there is often no budget set aside for many of these projects. A lack of resources gives agencies little leeway or impetus to take on such tasks, and there are often few staff members who are assigned to initiate and manage them. This does not preclude them from Gov 2.0, however, as Microsoft and other companies have open source platforms for them to use. Often times it?s possible for them to create an open API on their own while only having to pay to host the products on Microsoft?s Azure cloud.

Though many of these initiatives are relatively new, there have been several successful projects launched within the last few years. Microsoft and other partners teamed up with the United Nations, for instance, to offer a series of data maps on Gross Domestic Product in each country, allowing users to manipulate a number of color-coded maps and graphs to display side-by-side comparisons of GDP and other economic indicators. One map enables you to zoom in to a particular continent and hover your mouse over each country, an action that pulls up the economic indicator of your choice. In another collaboration, Microsoft worked with the city of San Fransisco to map out all the 311 requests to the City Call Center, a project that would allow citizens to see the allocation of 311 resources.

Though many of the apps and tools are available for anyone to utilize, West said that the majority of the use is by government employees. ?The most interest is always across agencies, and that?s part of the open govenrment initiative as well ? creating agency to agency collaboration,? he said. ?It?s mainly trickle-down data; a lot of state and local governments are looking at what federal agencies are doing and saying this either justifies or doesn?t justify what we need to do.?

Part of the reason that non-government employees don?t engage with the apps is because they often don?t know it?s there. To increase engagement, Microsoft or other interested parties will sometimes create a data mashup and then post it up on Facebook or Twitter, two platforms ideal for disseminating infographics. These kind of efforts will sometimes lead to users diving into the tools to create their own data maps. ?Military usage of open data is actually growing,? West said. ?Because they?re able to take information about how things operate and then say, ?What if we were to transpose this to a different country or different region? Could we look at the same types of statistics???

Perhaps the biggest problem with displaying government data is not knowing what is useful. As Microsoft and other technology companies move forward with aiding government agencies in creating open platforms, the question of ?Who cares?? will likely be the hardest one to answer when deciding where to allocate resources. ?It?s a Catch 22,? West explained. ?Until the data is exciting and useful, nobody wants it. And nobody can get it to that stage before a lot needs to happen.?

But if you don?t know whether somebody wants it until you build it, how do you even begin to manage which initiatives deserve priority? Given these questions and the lack of funding that plagues many local and federal agencies, it?s apparent that there?s much progress to be made in the Gov 2.0 sphere. With a split and increasingly partisan Congress, it?s unclear whether these initiatives will simply be added to a growing list of unfunded mandates, or if we?ll truly see a revolution in how we display government information for the American citizenry to consume.

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Google takes on home automation with Android @ Home

Google kicked off its I/O conference in San Francisco yesterday by announcing a new version of Honeycomb, its next-gen "Ice Cream Sandwich" Android release, and their much rumored music service. But the company also offered a glimpse at its ambitious plan to turn homes into one network of connected devices and appliances.

Powered by the Android @ Home framework, lighting systems could be controlled with an Android tablet, the thermostat adjusted presumably even while away from home, and multi-zone speaker systems fired up from a centralized point. In a sense all this is already possible through technologies like DLNA, and many companies are already building proprietary home automation systems around connected objects. But Google hopes Android @ Home will provide a unified client based on an open protocol for appliance makers to build on top of.

Google showed off a couple of examples during the conference and announced partnerships with a handful of companies to bring compatible appliances and devices to the market. The first demo involved a LED bulb from Lighting Sciences Group that can talk to Android. It uses a new mesh network wireless protocol rather than Wi-Fi, ZigBee, or the other proprietary home automation protocols and can be controlled from a tablet or respond to certain events.

"Lighting is very visible and prevalent so it made sense for it to be first foray for the platform," said a company spokesman. "Every one of the lights has a radio integrated inside the lamp so there's no additional equipment." The networked bulbs will be available by the end of the year priced roughly the same as general-purpose LEDs.

Google also showed off a preview of something called "Project Tungsten," in which wireless speakers running Android pull music directly from Google's new cloud based music service and stream it to locations in the home. It also demonstrated a concept of how it can rip songs from a CD and store them in the cloud just by swiping a near-field communication-enabled CD case in front of the "Project Tungsten" setup.

Wireless isn't the only way Google is expanding Android beyond mobile gadgets. Exercise equipment maker Life Fitness, for instance, developed a tool that allows Android devices to connect with treadmills, exercise bikes or other equipment via USB and download workout data to users' phones.

If the technology gets widely adopted by device makers the idea is to have Android as the operating system for your home. For now Google has unveiled the Android @ Home framework and the Android Open Accessory Development Kit (ADK) so developers can get a head start on building apps on top of the new protocols.

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Headmaster and teachers cleverly surprise students with flash mob. Crowd goes wild. [Video]

Critics Fear G.O.P.?s Proposed Medicaid Changes Could Cut Coverage for the Aged

While the largest number of Medicaid recipients are low-income children and adults, who tend to be far less politically potent voices in battles over entitlement programs than older voters, the changes to Medicaid proposed by Representative Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin, the House budget chairman, could actually have a more direct impact on older Americans than the Medicare part of his plan.

The House plan would turn Medicaid, which provides health coverage for the poor through a combination of federal and state money, into a block grant program for states. The federal government would give lump sums to states, which in turn would be given more flexibility and independence over use of the money, though the plan does not spell out what the federal requirements would be.

Beginning in 2013, these grants would increase annually at the rate of inflation, with adjustments for population growth, a rate far below that of inflation for health care costs. As a result, states, which have said that they cannot afford to keep up with the program?s costs, are likely to scale back coverage. Such a reduction, critics fear, could have a disproportionate effect on Medicaid spending for nursing home care for the elderly or disabled.

By contrast, under the Medicare proposal approved by the House, no one currently 55 or older would see a change in benefits, which the House proposed to turn into a voucher-type program.

?This is a huge deal for the nation?s seniors, and it?s been largely unrecognized,? said Jocelyn Guyer, the co-executive director of the Center for Children and Families at the Georgetown University Health Policy Institute. ?Obviously Medicaid is a program designed for low- and modest-income people. But when it comes to nursing homes, a lot of seniors start off middle class and pay for their care with private funds but end up using the Medicaid program.?

According to the Congressional Budget Office, in the 2010 fiscal year, 77 percent of people enrolled in Medicaid were children and families, while 23 percent were elderly or disabled. But 64 percent of Medicaid spending was for older Americans and people with disabilities, while 36 percent went to children and families.

According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, which analyzes health care issues, 7 of 10 nursing home residents are on Medicaid, in large part because even middle-class patients often run through their savings while in a nursing home and turn to the entitlement program.

The foundation recently estimated that a Medicaid block grant similar to the one proposed by Mr. Ryan could save $750 billion over 10 years. House Republicans also want to eliminate the expansion in Medicaid eligibility scheduled to take place in 2014 under the new health care law, which could result in savings of $610 billion.

According to a report released Tuesday by the foundation with the Urban Institute, by 2012, under the Ryan plan, Medicaid enrollment nationally could be 44 million people fewer than what it is projected to be under current law, which includes new additions to the program under the health care overhaul.

It is still possible that there will be some changes to the Medicare program this year, but Medicaid is quite likely a more politically viable area of change. Representative Eric Cantor of Virginia, the House majority leader, said Tuesday, ?Medicaid is a very important part of our plan.?

While the House passed the Ryan 2012 budget that includes changes to Medicare and Medicaid, it is dead on arrival in the Senate.

Another budget proposal offered Tuesday by Senator Patrick J. Toomey, Republican of Pennsylvania, increases Medicare spending, while using block grants for Medicaid in an effort to reduce Medicaid spending by 2019 to a level only $14 billion above what it was in the 2008 fiscal year.

It is likely that Democrats will strongly oppose block grants, arguing that such a plan would shift too many Medicaid costs to states that are already slashing their budgets. At a news conference last week, Senator John D. Rockefeller IV of West Virginia sharply criticized several of the ideas for reshaping Medicaid, calling broad-based cuts ?almost beyond my moral understanding.?

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Ford Demos a Car that Learns

Researchers at Ford are testing a hybrid gas-electric car that makes an educated guess at where you're going whenever you turn the key. 

They installed software that draws on prediction technology developed by Google in a plug-in hybrid Ford Escape SUV. To make the car more energy-efficient that software directs the car's computer to tweak how its electric motor draws power from the vehicle's battery and gas generator during a drive according to the trip a driver is expected to make.

"The system keeps track of how a person uses their car and builds a predictive model in the cloud, using Google's prediction technology," says Ryan McGee, of Ford's Dearborn, Michigan, research labs. "When you start the car, it asks that model, 'Where are we going next?'"

Ford's prototype makes use of a Google service called the Prediction API to create, store, and query that model. When data is uploaded to the service, machine-learning algorithms build a model that can be used to predict future additions to the data set.

In the case of the Ford prototype, the car uses a wireless Internet connection to supply the prediction service with the vehicle's current location and the time. It receives back a ranked list of likely trips. Based on that list, the software can inform the car to change the way its engine management software juggles gas and electric power consumption over the trip. "It might use electric energy earlier in the trip, or save it for the end," based on rules set by the driver, or derived by the car's software from past experience, says McGee.

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Hardware 23 - Socket to 'em

Hardware 23 - Socket to 'em

Posted on 9th May 2011 at 11:49 by Podcast with 4 comments

This week, Clive, Harry, Paul and Antony discuss Folding@home, going through what it's all about and what hardware you should be using to generate the most points per day.

Also on the agenda are some of our thoughts about factory-overclocked graphics cards. We discuss where in the market these provide real value, and when you?d be better of trading up to a better GPU altogether.

Harry also treats us all to a very long comprehensive run down of the current state of the SSD market, and what developments we can expect to see there over the next few months.

Finally, we take a look at AMD?s soon to be retired Phenom brand, and discuss what AMD got right and wrong with this chip-generation. We also take a look back at the conclusions we drew from our first experiences with Phenom-branded processors, and how our thoughts back then compare to our thoughts now.


As always, we've also set up our weekly competition, the lucky winner of which will walk away with a Speedlink Strike FX wireless gamepad. This gamepad is compatible with both the PC and PlayStation 3, and functions at distances of up to 10m.

As ever, the bit-tech hardware podcast features music by Brad Sucks, and was recorded on Shure microphones. You can download the podcast direct, listen in-browser or subscribe through iTunes using the links below. Also, be sure to let us know your thoughts about the discussion in the forums.

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